Old Boys vs Ueberstorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
16º
3º
36
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 3
OLD
17%
18%
66%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OLD
5 - 1
TAV
78%
14%
9%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 3
OLD
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 4
CON
64%
18%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 2
OLD
30%
20%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ueberstorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 2
DOR
31%
21%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 1
FCU
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 2
FCA
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 0
FCU
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 0
FCU
55%
21%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |