Old Boys vs Bubendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
16º
3º
25
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BBB
5 - 3
OLD
37%
21%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 6
FCP
74%
15%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 3
BAS
5%
13%
83%
|
35 | 83 | 48 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
OLD
3 - 1
FCU
62%
18%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 2
OLD
30%
21%
49%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bubendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUB
2 - 2
DOR
35%
22%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GUM
1 - 1
BUB
59%
19%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MUT
7 - 1
BUB
81%
11%
8%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BUB
3 - 1
ZOF
26%
21%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 1
BUB
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |