Old Boys vs Bubendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
3º
30
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZOF
2 - 3
OLD
24%
21%
56%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
0 - 0
RSZ
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 4
OLD
10%
14%
76%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 1
REG
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DIE
3 - 1
OLD
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bubendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BUB
4 - 1
FCU
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCW
5 - 0
BUB
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BUB
0 - 2
SCH
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 2
BUB
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BUB
3 - 1
LIE
20%
18%
62%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |