Olbia Calcio vs Poli. Alghero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ACM
0 - 0
OLB
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
USA
2 - 0
OLB
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
OLB
2 - 1
FCC
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 1
OLB
40%
27%
34%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
OLB
1 - 0
ACR
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Poli. Alghero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
POL
3 - 1
FCS
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
POL
2 - 1
FCS
37%
27%
36%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
USI
1 - 3
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |