Olbia Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PIS
1 - 2
OLB
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
OLB
1 - 4
PER
43%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
OLB
0 - 0
LEO
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 1
OLB
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
OLB
1 - 1
LIV
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ASL
0 - 1
JS2
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
3 - 0
ASL
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
ASL
2 - 3
COM
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LEO
2 - 1
ASL
62%
23%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |