Olaria vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
70.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
OLA
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OLA
1 - 0
MAD
28%
27%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
OLA
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
OLA
2 - 2
MAC
23%
24%
52%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
VAS
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 1
VOL
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VAS
3 - 2
FLU
39%
26%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 2
VAS
14%
21%
65%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |