Olaria vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
67.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
OLA
86%
11%
4%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
OLA
0 - 1
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
FRI
1 - 2
OLA
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
OLA
1 - 0
TIG
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OLA
0 - 0
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 1
VAS
15%
21%
64%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 0
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOA
81%
14%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 2
VAS
13%
21%
67%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 1
VOL
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | +1 |