Olaria vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
72.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
OLA
3 - 2
BAN
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
BOT
2 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
5%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
OLA
3 - 1
FRI
67%
18%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
AME
3 - 0
OLA
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1974 |
DES
0 - 1
OLA
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -10 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
VAS
6 - 0
AME
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 2
PAR
95%
4%
1%
|
84 | 33 | 51 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
FRI
0 - 1
VAS
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 0
BAN
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 1
VAS
3%
14%
83%
|
84 | 31 | 53 | 0 |