Carioca A2 Eliminatorias Final
Global 1-3
Olaria vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
OLA
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 0
PET
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 2
PET
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
OLA
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 1
AFC
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
AFC
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
SAM
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 3
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
SAM
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
PET
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |