Rio Cup Last 16
Global 2-4
Olaria vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VOL
3 - 0
OLA
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FRI
0 - 1
OLA
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
OLA
2 - 1
VOL
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
OLA
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
OLA
2 - 0
FRI
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 2
POR
27%
28%
46%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
AFC
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
NVE
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AIM
0 - 1
POR
34%
31%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |