Olaria vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 0
OLA
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
OLA
2 - 2
VAS
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 0
OLA
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
OLA
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
OLA
2 - 0
NOV
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAN
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 2
CAB
44%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
OLA
2 - 0
NOV
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 2
DUQ
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |