Olaria vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
OLA
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
OLA
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 2
BAN
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
FLU
3 - 1
OLA
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 0
AUD
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
QUI
69%
18%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
4 - 2
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
VOL
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |