Rio Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Olaria vs Goytacaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
OLA
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
OLA
14%
22%
65%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
0 - 0
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
OLA
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 0
PET
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
GOY
0 - 1
OLA
14%
22%
65%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 2
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
GOY
44%
27%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOY
4 - 1
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
GOY
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |