Olaria vs Goytacaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
OLA
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OLA
1 - 0
SFC
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 0
OLA
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
OLA
2 - 2
NCI
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
OLA
2 - 0
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NCI
3 - 0
GOY
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 1
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 0
GOY
21%
23%
55%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 1
CGA
32%
23%
46%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
GOY
19%
21%
59%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -1 |