Olaria vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
OLA
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
OLA
2 - 2
MAC
23%
24%
52%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
OLA
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
OLA
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 2
BAN
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 3
ITA
84%
13%
4%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
FLA
11%
19%
70%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
FRI
0 - 4
FLA
13%
21%
66%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |