Carioca A2 Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Olaria vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
OLA
1 - 0
SCR
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 0
OLA
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
OLA
3 - 3
RES
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCR
1 - 1
OLA
15%
19%
67%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
OLA
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
2 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 0
OLA
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
DUQ
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CMA
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CMA
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |