Olaria vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
AUD
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CMA
2 - 0
OLA
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
OLA
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
OLA
2 - 2
POR
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
DUQ
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
GOY
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |