Olaria vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
5 - 0
OLA
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
2 - 1
MAD
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
OLA
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RES
3 - 2
OLA
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 1
BON
86%
11%
4%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BON
2 - 2
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RES
1 - 0
BON
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BON
0 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BON
3 - 1
MAD
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |