Olaria vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DUQ
4 - 2
OLA
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
OLA
1 - 1
MAC
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
OLA
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
OLA
2 - 0
CAB
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FLU
6 - 2
OLA
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAB
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOT
11%
22%
67%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 2
BAN
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 0
DUQ
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 1
BAN
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |