Olaria vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 5
OLA
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
OLA
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
OLA
2 - 2
VOL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
OLA
3 - 1
REC
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
GOY
1 - 0
OLA
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 2
FLA
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 0
BAN
80%
15%
6%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
0 - 3
BOA
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 0
BAN
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
BAN
2 - 1
TIG
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |