Olaria vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
5 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 0
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 2
OLA
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
1 - 2
FRI
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
2 - 0
VOL
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 4
AUD
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 0
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
GOY
3 - 2
AUD
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
AUD
4 - 3
QUI
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 4
AUD
29%
25%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |