Olaria vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
OLA
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OLA
4 - 2
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 2
OLA
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
OLA
2 - 1
PET
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AME
1 - 2
OLA
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 0
AUD
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CMA
1 - 0
ADC
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 1
RES
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
ADC
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ADC
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |