Rio Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Olaria vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
OLA
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
OLA
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
OLA
6 - 0
NOV
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 1
OLA
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
2 - 1
AUD
35%
28%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
OLA
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 0
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
FRI
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
RES
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |