Ol. Moscavide vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ol. Moscavide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
VIZ
1 - 2
OLM
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
OLM
0 - 0
OLH
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
GON
0 - 1
OLM
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
OLM
2 - 1
VIT
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
OLM
67%
21%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
VAR
2 - 0
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
VAR
2 - 4
POR
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VIZ
0 - 1
VAR
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VAR
1 - 0
OLH
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
GON
0 - 1
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |