Świt Skolwin vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
11º
9º
29
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21% | 24.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Świt Skolwin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
SKO
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
WIG
3 - 1
SKO
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SKO
0 - 3
WIE
39%
26%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 0
SKO
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SKO
2 - 0
SKR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ZAG
1 - 0
MGJ
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POD
0 - 0
ZAG
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 1
ZAG
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
2 - 3
HUT
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
ZAG
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |