Świt Skolwin vs TS Polonia Bytom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
13º
13º
24
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 72 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 64 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 56 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 56 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 55 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 52 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 45 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 44 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 43 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 40 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 36 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 35 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 29 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 25 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 80% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
33.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Świt Skolwin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
1 - 0
SKO
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 3
POD
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PGM
4 - 1
SKO
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 0
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HUT
0 - 1
SKO
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
TS Polonia Bytom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
3 - 1
RES
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
2 - 4
TSP
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
5 - 1
REK
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
MGJ
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POD
0 - 1
TSP
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |