Świt Skolwin vs Rekord Bielsko Biała analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
11º
9º
17
12º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Świt Skolwin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
SKO
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SKO
1 - 0
ZAG
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
SKO
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
WIG
3 - 1
SKO
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SKO
0 - 3
WIE
39%
26%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rekord Bielsko Biała
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
REK
0 - 2
MGJ
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
POD
0 - 3
REK
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
REK
1 - 1
PGM
35%
25%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 4
REK
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
REK
0 - 1
HUT
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |