Świt Skolwin vs Hutnik Krakow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
11º
9º
29
4º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21% | 55% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Świt Skolwin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 1
SKO
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LKS
1 - 1
SKO
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SKO
4 - 4
ZAG
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
RES
0 - 1
SKO
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 2
REK
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hutnik Krakow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
HUT
1 - 0
MGJ
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HUT
0 - 2
POD
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PGM
1 - 1
HUT
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HUT
2 - 1
OLI
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
HUT
68%
19%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |