Okinawa SV vs Maruyasu Industries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
13º
14º
15º
37
2º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Okinawa SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
OSV
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
OSV
1 - 2
URA
17%
23%
61%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CRS
1 - 0
OSV
77%
15%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
OSV
0 - 5
HON
10%
18%
72%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
OSV
0 - 2
VER
12%
20%
68%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Maruyasu Industries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
REA
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KUS
2 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VEK
1 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
TIA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 2
HON
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |