Okinawa SV vs TIAMO Hirakata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
13º
14º
15º
31
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Okinawa SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
OSV
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
OSV
1 - 0
HON
12%
22%
67%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | +6 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
URA
0 - 0
OSV
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
OSV
0 - 1
SON
7%
15%
78%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MIO
3 - 0
OSV
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
TIAMO Hirakata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
TIA
2 - 0
REA
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
KUS
0 - 0
TIA
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TIA
2 - 4
CRS
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
TIA
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TIA
0 - 2
VER
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |