Ojos de Garza vs Estrella Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
52.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+252%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ojos de Garza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
OJO
2 - 1
TCO
32%
21%
48%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
VDC
1 - 2
OJO
68%
17%
15%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
OJO
0 - 3
UDL
32%
21%
47%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ING
4 - 3
OJO
42%
21%
37%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 0
OJO
74%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
EST
4 - 1
LRO
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
TCO
5 - 3
EST
27%
21%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
MOG
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
VDC
1 - 2
EST
44%
21%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
LHU
4 - 3
EST
26%
20%
54%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |