Oita Trinita vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
OIT
1 - 0
TOC
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 1
OIT
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
OIT
2 - 2
TOK
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FAG
0 - 0
OIT
26%
28%
47%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
OIT
1 - 2
THE
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
TOK
4 - 0
GIR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GIF
1 - 3
TOK
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
TOK
0 - 0
FCT
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAG
3 - 1
TOK
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TOK
1 - 2
EHI
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |