Oita Trinita vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CON
1 - 0
OIT
55%
22%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
OIT
2 - 2
KAR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 0
OIT
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
OIT
0 - 3
KAA
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 2
OIT
82%
13%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
FCY
2 - 2
TOK
49%
23%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2004 |
TOK
2 - 1
JUB
20%
21%
60%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2004 |
TOK
3 - 1
GAM
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
THE
0 - 3
TOK
30%
22%
48%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
TOK
2 - 1
NAG
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |