Oita Trinita vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
OIT
2 - 2
GIR
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TOC
2 - 1
OIT
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
OIT
2 - 1
GIF
61%
24%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
KAW
4 - 0
OIT
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
OIT
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
THE
4 - 0
TOC
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EHI
1 - 2
THE
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
THE
2 - 1
CON
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GIF
0 - 1
THE
32%
26%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
THE
0 - 0
KAT
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |