Oita Trinita vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
OIT
2 - 0
CER
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 3
OIT
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 0
OIT
10%
21%
69%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
OIT
3 - 0
MDN
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
FUK
1 - 4
OIT
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SHI
2 - 1
MIT
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SHI
3 - 1
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SHI
3 - 0
MIT
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SHI
2 - 1
KUJ
84%
11%
4%
|
55 | 17 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
YOK
0 - 2
SHI
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |