Oita Trinita vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
OIT
2 - 2
FCY
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
OMI
1 - 2
OIT
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
JEF
1 - 0
OIT
52%
24%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
OIT
2 - 0
TOK
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
OIT
3 - 1
ALB
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
OMI
1 - 1
ALB
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
OMI
1 - 2
OIT
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
KAW
2 - 3
OMI
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
OMI
1 - 2
CON
51%
28%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
FCY
1 - 1
OMI
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |