Oita Trinita vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
VIS
1 - 0
OIT
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
KAW
2 - 0
OIT
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TOK
0 - 1
OIT
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
OIT
1 - 3
SAN
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CER
1 - 0
OIT
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SHO
0 - 0
NAG
19%
26%
56%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NAG
0 - 0
FCT
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
KAA
0 - 1
NAG
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
NAG
3 - 0
YOK
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 1
NAG
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |