Oita Trinita vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
OIT
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
OIT
1 - 1
VIS
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
OIT
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
OIT
2 - 0
SAG
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
OIT
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
NAG
1 - 0
SAG
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
CER
0 - 2
NAG
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
NAG
2 - 2
GAM
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
SHI
1 - 2
NAG
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
VEG
1 - 1
NAG
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |