Oita Trinita vs Mito Hollyhock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
OIT
1 - 2
YOK
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
OIT
2 - 2
GAM
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 1
OIT
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
URA
2 - 1
OIT
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
KAW
1 - 1
OIT
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mito Hollyhock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MIT
0 - 1
BLA
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MIT
2 - 3
VEG
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VEN
3 - 3
MIT
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MIT
2 - 1
EHI
66%
21%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
OMI
1 - 3
MIT
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |