Oita Trinita vs MD Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
FUK
1 - 4
OIT
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OIT
0 - 1
TOC
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
TOK
1 - 2
OIT
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
OIT
4 - 3
FUJ
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
OIT
2 - 2
RYK
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
MD Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MDN
1 - 2
HOY
17%
21%
62%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | 0 |