Oita Trinita vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MIT
1 - 2
OIT
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
REN
1 - 3
OIT
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
OIT
5 - 0
KAM
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ROA
1 - 3
OIT
20%
25%
56%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AVI
1 - 0
OIT
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ROA
0 - 4
KYO
33%
25%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
KYO
1 - 0
AVI
25%
28%
47%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KYO
0 - 2
TOC
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FAG
2 - 2
KYO
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
KYO
0 - 0
ZWE
31%
28%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |