Oita Trinita vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 0
OIT
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
OIT
0 - 3
KAA
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 2
OIT
82%
13%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
OIT
0 - 4
NAG
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
FCT
1 - 1
OIT
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
KAR
0 - 4
URA
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
SHI
2 - 1
KAR
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
KAR
0 - 1
ATF
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
ALB
1 - 3
KAR
82%
14%
5%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
KAR
0 - 2
TOK
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |