Oita Trinita vs Júbilo Iwata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
TOK
3 - 1
OIT
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
OIT
2 - 3
JEF
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
NAG
2 - 1
OIT
52%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
OIT
0 - 1
ALB
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
SHI
1 - 2
OIT
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
JUB
4 - 2
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
KAA
1 - 0
JUB
28%
24%
49%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
JUB
2 - 2
VIS
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
JUB
3 - 2
JEF
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ALB
1 - 2
JUB
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |