Oita Trinita vs Grulla Morioka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
OIT
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OIT
1 - 0
KAG
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
KAT
0 - 0
OIT
36%
29%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
OIT
0 - 1
SHI
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
OIT
2 - 0
CER
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Grulla Morioka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GRU
5 - 0
SAG
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 0
GRU
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 2
FUJ
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 2
HON
30%
23%
48%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
RYK
4 - 2
GRU
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |