Oita Trinita vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 2
OIT
49%
27%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
VVA
2 - 1
OIT
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
OIT
4 - 1
NAG
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GIF
1 - 2
OIT
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
OIT
0 - 0
MAT
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
FAG
2 - 1
YOK
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
EHI
2 - 0
FAG
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
AVI
1 - 0
FAG
18%
25%
58%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FAG
3 - 2
TOK
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
VVA
3 - 0
FAG
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |