Oita Trinita vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
URA
4 - 1
OIT
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
OIT
1 - 1
FCY
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
OIT
2 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
VIS
0 - 0
OIT
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
OIT
2 - 1
FCT
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CER
1 - 0
KAA
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
FCT
1 - 1
CER
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CER
1 - 2
JUB
20%
22%
59%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
FCY
2 - 1
CER
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
URA
4 - 2
CER
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |