Ohzu High School vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
73.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
HOY
0 - 2
VVA
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HON
1 - 0
VVA
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 0
ZWE
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
HON
0 - 4
VVA
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
4 - 1
RYK
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |