Ohod vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
72.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ohod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 1
OHO
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 0
OHO
37%
25%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OHO
1 - 2
ALO
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NAJ
1 - 2
OHO
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
OHO
0 - 2
ALF
21%
28%
51%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ALN
4 - 3
ALA
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
PER
0 - 2
ALN
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALR
1 - 3
ALN
34%
25%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ALH
1 - 5
ALN
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ALN
4 - 0
ALS
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |