OH Leuven vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
13º
10º
37
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 39 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 36 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 24 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
87% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2.5% | 72.5% |
|
Next round
|
83% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 0
LEU
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GNK
2 - 0
LEU
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
BRU
3 - 0
LEU
57%
22%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
LEU
2 - 0
BEE
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
LEU
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
GEN
1 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 0
GEN
23%
23%
53%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 3
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SDL
0 - 1
GEN
24%
24%
51%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
GEN
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |