OH Leuven vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
10º
9º
13
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
13 | 55 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 51 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 51 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 51 |
4º
|
5.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 42 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 40 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 39 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 31 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 19 |
16º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
27.5% | 90% |
|
Next round
|
62% | 9% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BEE
0 - 0
LEU
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LEU
0 - 1
LEN
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RKC
2 - 4
LEU
30%
24%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 8
LEU
9%
16%
76%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
LEU
8 - 0
BEL
90%
8%
2%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
0 - 0
SDL
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
2 - 2
LIL
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
1 - 2
GAE
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FEY
3 - 1
GNK
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
3 - 1
PAO
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |